National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy to Excessive Rainfall and Flooding Threats in the Central and Eastern U.S.; Heat and Fire Weather Concerns in the West

Thunderstorms producing excessive rainfall and potential flooding concerns will continue through tonight from the Southern Plains to the East Coast. Areas of greatest concern for flooding are over central Texas and the Mid-Atlantic. Heat will continue to build across the West through Tuesday. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect. Fire Weather concerns continue through Monday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Patuxent River, Naval Air Station (KNHK)

Lat: 38.28°NLon: 76.41°WElev: 39ft.

Partly Cloudy

79°F

26°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed S 5 mph
Barometer 30.03 in (1017.0 mb)
Dewpoint 73°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 14 Jul 5:52 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SSE Church Creek MD

  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 2pm and 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. South wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 87 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 74 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Heavy Rain

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 87 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 76 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. South wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 77 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 93 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 78 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 94 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 2pm and 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. South wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. South wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SSE Church Creek MD
 38.46°N 76.13°W (Elev. 3 ft)
Last Update:
2:19 am EDT Jul 14, 2025
Forecast Valid:
6am EDT Jul 14, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 20, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation