National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Flooding in the Mid-Atlantic; Heat and Wildfire Concerns in the West

Slow moving showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding for portions of the mid-Atlantic region through tonight. Meanwhile, excessive heat will continue to build across the West through Tuesday. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect. Fire Weather concerns continue for the West with dry and breezy conditions. Watching the tropics across the Southeast. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Patuxent River, Naval Air Station (KNHK)

Lat: 38.28°NLon: 76.41°WElev: 39ft.

75°F

24°C

Humidity 84%
Wind Speed SW 15 mph
Barometer 30.06 in (1017.9 mb)
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 2.00 mi
Last update 14 Jul 9:52 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SSE Church Creek MD

Flood Watch July 14, 10:04pm until July 15, 06:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch July 14, 10:04pm until July 15, 06:00am

    NOW until 6:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Low: 74 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 88 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 76 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. South wind 6 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 78. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 78 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 93 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 78 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 92 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 3am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3am. Patchy fog between 1am and 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. South wind 6 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 78. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SSE Church Creek MD
 38.46°N 76.13°W (Elev. 3 ft)
Last Update:
3:41 pm EDT Jul 14, 2025
Forecast Valid:
10pm EDT Jul 14, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation