National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather in the Central Plains; Fire Concerns in the Southern High Plains and Southwest; Late-Season Mountain Snow

Severe storms, including large hail, wind, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes, are possible in the central Plains. Dry, windy conditions and lightning from dry thunderstorms may produce hazardous fire conditions in the Southwest and southern High Plains. Late-season snow is expected in the Northwest and the Great Basin. Heat is spreading across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Fair

62°F

17°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.04 in
Dewpoint 57°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 May 1:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SW Culpeper VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light southwest wind.

    Low: 60 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 89 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 93 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 66 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 95.

    High: 95 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 68.

    Low: 68 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 95 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light southwest wind.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 95.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SW Culpeper VA
 38.45°N 78.01°W (Elev. 486 ft)
Last Update:
10:54 pm EDT May 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
1am EDT May 17, 2026-6pm EDT May 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation