National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather Concerns and Severe Thunderstorms through the Weekend

Dry and windy conditions, and some dry thunderstorms and lightning, may support hazardous fire activity in the northern Plains, high southern Plains and the Southwest this weekend. An active severe weather pattern is forecast for portions of the central and southern High Plains into the Upper Midwest through early the part of next week. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are possible. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Fair

55°F

13°C

Humidity 75%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.09 in
Dewpoint 47°F (8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 May 10:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles WSW Culpeper VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Calm wind.

    Low: 49 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 88 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 92.

    High: 92 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 66.

    Low: 66 °F

    Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 93.

    High: 93 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 68.

    Low: 68 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Calm wind.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 92.
Monday Night
Clear, with a low around 66.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday
Showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles WSW Culpeper VA
 38.46°N 78.07°W (Elev. 502 ft)
Last Update:
10:52 pm EDT May 15, 2026
Forecast Valid:
10pm EDT May 15, 2026-6pm EDT May 22, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation