Risks of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Fire Weather Concerns in Alaska and Southwest

An expansive storm system will bring widespread storms with a threat for flash flooding and severe weather to much of the central to eastern U.S. into early this week. Critical fire weather conditions are expected across interior Alaska this weekend. Elevated fire conditions also expected in the Southwest U.S.. Conditions will remain uncomfortably hot across the southern Plains and the Southeast. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Mostly Cloudy

63°F

17°C

Humidity 76%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.90 in
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 21 Jun 3:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Culpeper VA

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 88. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Isolated showers before 11am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 94. Light south wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 94 °F

    Isolated
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then isolated showers.  Low around 64. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light west  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Isolated showers before 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. North wind 8 to 13 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 84 °F

    Isolated
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 87 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 88. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Monday
Isolated showers before 11am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 94. Light south wind becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then isolated showers. Low around 64. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Isolated showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. North wind 8 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Culpeper VA
 38.45°N 78.01°W (Elev. 486 ft)
2:22 am EDT Jun 21, 2026
4am EDT Jun 21, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 27, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database