National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy to Excessive Rainfall for the Southwest U.S.; Watching for Possible East Coast Storm

Thunderstorms and a chance for some isolated flash flooding will continue today in the Southwest U.S. before an influx of tropical moisture from Priscilla brings widespread heavy rainfall and a flash flooding threat late this week into this weekend. A coastal storm may develop off the southeast U.S. coast Friday night and drift north just off the Mid-Atlantic coast through the weekend. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Mostly Cloudy

73°F

23°C

Humidity 51%
Wind Speed N 17 mph
Barometer 30.11 in
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 8 Oct 2:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles WSW Garrisonville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Clear, with a low around 47. North wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 65. North wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    High: 65 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 38. Light northeast wind.

    Low: 38 °F

    Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 67. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning.

    High: 67 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Light east wind.

    Low: 48 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 70 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 66 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Clear, with a low around 47. North wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 65. North wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 38. Light northeast wind.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Light east wind.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 68.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles WSW Garrisonville VA
 38.46°N 77.47°W (Elev. 299 ft)
Last Update:
1:29 pm EDT Oct 8, 2025
Forecast Valid:
3pm EDT Oct 8, 2025-6pm EDT Oct 15, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation