National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Fair

85°F

29°C

Humidity 62%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.92 in
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index90°F (32°C)
Last update 11 Jul 5:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Garrisonville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A slight chance of showers between 7am and 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 84. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind.

    Low: 65 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 90.

    High: 90 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 69.

    Low: 69 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 98.

    High: 98 °F

    Hot

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 74.

    Low: 74 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers between 7am and 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 84. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 69.
Wednesday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 98.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 96.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 73.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Garrisonville VA
 38.46°N 77.44°W (Elev. 249 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation