National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Overcast

74°F

23°C

Humidity 90%
Wind Speed N 5 mph
Barometer 30.02 in
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 12 Jul 2:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Garrisonville VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 68. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 82. East wind 3 to 8 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Light and variable wind.

    Low: 63 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 90.

    High: 90 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 68.

    Low: 68 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 97.

    High: 97 °F

    Hot

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 74.

    Low: 74 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 68. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Partly sunny, with a high near 82. East wind 3 to 8 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Light and variable wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 68.
Wednesday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 97.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 96.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Friday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Garrisonville VA
 38.46°N 77.44°W (Elev. 249 ft)
Last Update:
2:23 am EDT Jul 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am EDT Jul 12, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation