Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport (KRMN)

Lat: 38.4°NLon: 77.46°WElev: 213ft.

Partly Cloudy

78°F

26°C

Humidity 38%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 29.80 in
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index79°F (26°C)
Last update 16 Jun 7:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Garrisonville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers, mainly between 10pm and 2am.  Increasing clouds, with a low around 62. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 90 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 3 to 8 mph.

    Low: 68 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 101. Southwest wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 97 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 85 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A chance of showers, mainly between 10pm and 2am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 62. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 3 to 8 mph.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 101. Southwest wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Juneteenth
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Garrisonville VA
 38.48°N 77.44°W (Elev. 148 ft)
5:14 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
7pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database