National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Partly Cloudy

66°F

19°C

Humidity 70%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.82 in
Dewpoint 56°F (13°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 9:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Etlan VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, then becoming cloudy toward daybreak, with a low around 60. Calm wind.

    Low: 60 °F

    Becoming
    Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 66. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 66 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. West wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 92 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 67 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 82.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Partly cloudy, then becoming cloudy toward daybreak, with a low around 60. Calm wind.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 66. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. West wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Etlan VA
 38.52°N 78.26°W (Elev. 699 ft)
Last Update:
7:53 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
9pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation