National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Partly Cloudy

80°F

27°C

Humidity 34%
Wind Speed S 5 mph
Barometer 29.82 in
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index79°F (26°C)
Last update 16 Jun 5:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Culpeper County Airport VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers between 11pm and 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 58. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Partly sunny through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 87 °F

    Becoming
    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 64 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Southwest wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 94 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 84 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.

    Low: 58 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.

    Low: 58 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A slight chance of showers between 11pm and 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 58. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Partly sunny through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 87. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Southwest wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Juneteenth
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 87.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Culpeper County Airport VA
 38.53°N 77.86°W (Elev. 299 ft)
Last Update:
5:14 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation