Risks of Severe Thunderstorms and Excessive Rainfall in the Central U.S.; Fire Weather Concerns in Alaska and Southwest

An expansive storm system will bring widespread storms with a threat for flash flooding and severe weather to much of the central to eastern U.S. into early this week. Critical fire weather conditions are expected across interior Alaska this weekend. Elevated fire conditions also expected in the Southwest U.S.. Conditions will remain uncomfortably hot across the southern Plains and the Southeast. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Overcast

65°F

18°C

Humidity 76%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.93 in
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 21 Jun 5:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NNW Culpeper VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Isolated showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light west wind.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Isolated
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 88. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Light northeast wind.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Scattered showers before 11am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 94. Light south wind increasing to 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 94 °F

    Scattered
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then isolated showers.  Low around 65. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light west  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Isolated showers before 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 84 °F

    Isolated
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Isolated showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light west wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Light west wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Light northeast wind.
Monday
Scattered showers before 11am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 94. Light south wind increasing to 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then isolated showers. Low around 65. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light west after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Isolated showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NNW Culpeper VA
 38.52°N 78.03°W (Elev. 400 ft)
4:52 am EDT Jun 21, 2026
5am EDT Jun 21, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 27, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database