National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat for Portions of Mid-Atlantic and Northeast; Heat Linger for Southeast and Expands for the West

Moisture and nearby frontal boundary will focus more showers and thunderstorms for portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast today. Rainfall could be locally heavy resulting instances of flash flooding. Meanwhile, the heat lingers for areas of the Southeast and expands across the Western U.S. the next several days. Between these areas, severe thunderstorms possible for the Plains and Midwest. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Partly Cloudy

90°F

32°C

Humidity 52%
Wind Speed NE 3 mph
Barometer 29.94 in
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index96°F (36°C)
Last update 6 Jul 3:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles ENE Somerville VA

Flood Watch until July 7, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch until July 7, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 91 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers between 2am and 5am. Patchy fog after 3am. Low around 71. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 71 °F

    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 85 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers between 2am and 5am. Patchy fog after 3am. Low around 71. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...
Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles ENE Somerville VA
 38.54°N 77.57°W (Elev. 400 ft)
Last Update:
3:03 pm EDT Jul 6, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4pm EDT Jul 6, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 13, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation