National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Overcast

75°F

24°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.06 in
Dewpoint 69°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 Jul 4:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles ENE Etlan VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 66. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 79. North wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 79 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a slight chance of showers between 3am and 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 62 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers between 8am and 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 78 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Calm wind.

    Low: 61 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 65.

    Low: 65 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 93.

    High: 93 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 70.

    Low: 70 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 66. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 79. North wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a slight chance of showers between 3am and 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers between 8am and 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 65.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 92.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Friday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles ENE Etlan VA
 38.54°N 78.2°W (Elev. 522 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 am EDT Jul 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5am EDT Jul 12, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation