Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Intermountain West and East Coast

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Intermountain West and East Coast states. Flooding, gusty winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, record warmth will spread northward across the Mississippi Valley the next few days. Looking for snow, the first winter storm of the season is underway across the northern Rockies. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Quantico Marine Corps Airfield - Turner Field (KNYG)

Lat: 38.5°NLon: 77.3°WElev: 7ft.

Overcast

66°F

19°C

Humidity 96%
Wind Speed NW 6 mph
Barometer 29.85 in (1010.9 mb)
Dewpoint 65°F (18°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 11 Oct 4:56 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Dumfries VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 67. East wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 67 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 3am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3am.  Low around 63. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming northwest after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 63 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely, mainly before 7am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 75. North wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 75 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Light northwest wind.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 72 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 67. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 3am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3am. Low around 63. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Showers likely, mainly before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. North wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Light northwest wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 57.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Dumfries VA
 38.56°N 77.31°W (Elev. 39 ft)
4:54 pm EDT Oct 11, 2026
5pm EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database