National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes; Record Heat in the East

Widely scattered severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains due to gusty winds and dry conditions. An early-season heatwave will challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Luray Caverns (KLUA)

Lat: 38.67°NLon: 78.5°WElev: 902ft.

Fog/Mist

61°F

16°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.09 in
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 1.25 mi
Last update 20 May 4:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles E Stanley VA

  • Today

    Today: A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 94 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Light and variable wind becoming north around 5 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. High near 66. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 66 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers after 8pm. Low around 51. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 60. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 66 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 72 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Today
A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Light and variable wind becoming north around 5 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. High near 66. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers after 8pm. Low around 51. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 60. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Friday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Memorial Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles E Stanley VA
 38.58°N 78.42°W (Elev. 1893 ft)
Last Update:
2:22 am EDT May 20, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4am EDT May 20, 2026-6pm EDT May 26, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation