National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall in the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley; Thunderstorms in Eastern Colorado on Thursday

A multiple day heavy rainfall event will begin to set up from the Southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley Thursday, peaking in intensity over the holiday weekend. Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across eastern Colorado Thursday afternoon and evening. Large hail will be the primary hazard. Read More >

Current conditions at

Luray Caverns (KLUA)

Lat: 38.67°NLon: 78.5°WElev: 902ft.

Fog/Mist

66°F

19°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.09 in
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 3.00 mi
Last update 21 May 3:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles E Stanley VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Patchy fog before 11am, then patchy fog after 5pm. High near 63. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 63 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers after 4am. Patchy fog before 2am, then patchy fog after 5am. Low around 52. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers. Patchy fog before 8am. High near 59. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers. Low around 49. East wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 64. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 64 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 54 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 77 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Patchy fog before 11am, then patchy fog after 5pm. High near 63. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers after 4am. Patchy fog before 2am, then patchy fog after 5am. Low around 52. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers. Patchy fog before 8am. High near 59. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Night
Showers. Low around 49. East wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 64. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Memorial Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles E Stanley VA
 38.58°N 78.42°W (Elev. 1893 ft)
Last Update:
2:22 am EDT May 21, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am EDT May 21, 2026-6pm EDT May 27, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation