Severe Weather in the Central U.S.; Heavy Rain in the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic

Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing severe gusts, large hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes are forecast from the north-central High Plains into the Upper Mississippi Valley. Widespread thunderstorms may produce excessive rainfall across portions of the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. Hot conditions and Critical Fire Weather looms over the Great Basin and Southwest through midweek. Read More >

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Overcast

71°F

22°C

Humidity 84%
Wind Speed E 5 mph
Barometer 30.04 in
Dewpoint 65°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 4:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles ESE Casanova VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Isolated showers.  Cloudy, with a high near 71. Northeast wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 71 °F

    Isolated
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers, mainly after 5am.  Patchy fog after 11pm.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Scattered
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Scattered rain before 2pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm.  Patchy fog before 9am.  Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 85 °F

    Scattered
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then
    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light south wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 92 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Clear

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 93 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 89.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Isolated showers. Cloudy, with a high near 71. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
Scattered showers, mainly after 5am. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Scattered rain before 2pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Juneteenth
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 91.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 96.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Monday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 97.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles ESE Casanova VA
 38.61°N 77.59°W (Elev. 200 ft)
4:29 pm EDT Jun 16, 2025
5pm EDT Jun 16, 2025-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database