Areas of Severe Thunderstorms, Excessive Rainfall, and Extreme Heat Saturday

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into the Tennessee Valley Saturday. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys Saturday. Extreme heat will continue for the Intermountain West and Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

87°F

31°C

Humidity 53%
Wind Speed NW 6 mph
Barometer 29.93 in
Dewpoint 68°F (20°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index90°F (32°C)
Last update 11 Jul 4:15 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles ESE Casanova VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Northwest wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 66 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 82 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 89.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 67.

    Low: 67 °F

    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 96.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Northwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Tuesday Night
Clear, with a low around 67.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 96.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 94.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles ESE Casanova VA
 38.61°N 77.59°W (Elev. 200 ft)
2:23 pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
4pm EDT Jul 11, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database