National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

74°F

23°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.95 in
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 4 Jul 11:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles NNW Bealeton VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Some of the storms could be severe. Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    and Patchy
    Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 102. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 95 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a chance of showers. Low around 68. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 86. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 86 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 83 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 85 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.

    Low: 65 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Some of the storms could be severe. Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 102. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a chance of showers. Low around 68. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 86. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles NNW Bealeton VA
 38.61°N 77.82°W (Elev. 400 ft)
Last Update:
10:53 pm EDT Jul 4, 2026
Forecast Valid:
11pm EDT Jul 4, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation