National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes; Record Heat in the East

Widely scattered severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains due to gusty winds and dry conditions. An early-season heatwave will challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Partly Cloudy

71°F

22°C

Humidity 86%
Wind Speed S 7 G 16 mph
Barometer 30.11 in
Dewpoint 67°F (19°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 19 May 4:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSE Sperryville VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 95. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 95 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then isolated showers between 8pm and 9pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers between 1pm and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 93. West wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 93 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then showers likely. Low around 56. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 64. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 64 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers. Low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 60. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 66 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 95. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then isolated showers between 8pm and 9pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers between 1pm and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 93. West wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then showers likely. Low around 56. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 64. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
Showers. Low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 60. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Memorial Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSE Sperryville VA
 38.63°N 78.24°W (Elev. 928 ft)
Last Update:
4:52 pm EDT May 19, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5pm EDT May 19, 2026-6pm EDT May 26, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation