Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic; Fire Weather Concerns in the West

Thunderstorms are expected to bring heavy rain and potential significant flash and urban flooding to the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday, especially along the I-95 urban corridor. Dry conditions, gusty winds, and isolated dry thunderstorms will continue to bring a critical fire weather threat to the northwestern Great Basin into the interior Northwest through Thursday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

76°F

24°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.95 in
Dewpoint 74°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index76°F (24°C)
Last update 31 Jul 4:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NE Calverton VA

Flood Watch July 31, 02:00pm until August 1, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  High near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 93 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then a slight chance of showers after 5am.  Low around 67. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 67 °F

    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. North wind 8 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 78 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. North wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind around 7 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.

    Low: 58 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.

    Low: 59 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. High near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then a slight chance of showers after 5am. Low around 67. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. North wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NE Calverton VA
 38.66°N 77.64°W (Elev. 292 ft)
4:29 am EDT Jul 31, 2025
5am EDT Jul 31, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 6, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database