National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Tropical Storm in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce considerable, potentially life-threatening, flooding across the lower Mississippi River Valley and central Great Lakes region through tonight. Tropical Storm Arthur will move northeastward along the Texas coast today and then move inland over southwestern Louisiana by tonight. An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected across portions of Illinois and Indiana. Read More >

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Partly Cloudy

81°F

27°C

Humidity 49%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.74 in
Dewpoint 60°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 17 Jun 6:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles ESE Sperryville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm.

    Low: 67 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 92. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 92 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 83 °F

    Decreasing
    Clouds

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 59 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 82.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Increasing clouds, with a low around 67. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm.
Thursday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 92. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Juneteenth
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles ESE Sperryville VA
 38.65°N 78.21°W (Elev. 699 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 pm EDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7pm EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 24, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation