National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorm and Heavy Rainfall Threat Tonight; Heat Continues on Tuesday Across the Eastern U.S.

Severe weather and flash flooding threats continue across the Central Plains and Midwest into tonight. Very large hail, strong tornadoes and damaging winds are expected. An early season heat wave will continue to challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S. through Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Manassas, Manassas Regional Airport/Harry P. Davis Field (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Fair

80°F

27°C

Humidity 58%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 30.12 in (1020.4 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 18 May 9:56 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SSE Nokesville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 69. Southwest wind around 7 mph.

    Low: 69 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    High: 97 °F

    Hot

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 71 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then showers likely. Low around 56. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely, mainly before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 68 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 66 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers. Low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 69. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 96. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then showers likely. Low around 56. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday
Showers likely, mainly before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
Showers. Low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Memorial Day
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SSE Nokesville VA
 38.68°N 77.58°W (Elev. 243 ft)
Last Update:
7:53 pm EDT May 18, 2026
Forecast Valid:
10pm EDT May 18, 2026-6pm EDT May 25, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation