Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fog/Mist

62°F

17°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed NE 7 mph
Barometer 29.81 in
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 5.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 7:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SW Warrenton VA

Flood Watch October 11, 09:02pm until October 12, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 09:02pm until October 12, 02:00am

    NOW until 2:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Calm wind.

    Low: 53 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 79 °F

    Becoming
    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 70 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then showers likely. Patchy fog before 11pm, then patchy fog after midnight. Low around 60. North wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Partly sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 83.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 55.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SW Warrenton VA
 38.68°N 77.86°W (Elev. 486 ft)
7:53 pm EDT Oct 11, 2026
9pm EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database