Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic; Fire Weather Concerns in the West

Thunderstorms are expected to bring heavy rain and potential significant flash and urban flooding to the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday, especially along the I-95 urban corridor. Dry conditions, gusty winds, and isolated dry thunderstorms will continue to bring a critical fire weather threat to the northwestern Great Basin into the interior Northwest through Thursday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

77°F

25°C

Humidity 90%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.98 in
Dewpoint 74°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 31 Jul 1:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SW Warrenton VA

Flood Watch July 31, 02:00pm until August 1, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  • Overnight

    Overnight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.

    Low: 72 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  High near 91. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 91 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then a slight chance of showers after 5am.  Low around 66. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 66 °F

    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of showers between 7am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. North wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 76 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. North wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 80.

    High: 80 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.

    High: 81 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

    Low: 57 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. High near 91. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then a slight chance of showers after 5am. Low around 66. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
A slight chance of showers between 7am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. North wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 84.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SW Warrenton VA
 38.68°N 77.86°W (Elev. 486 ft)
1:30 am EDT Jul 31, 2025
1am EDT Jul 31, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 6, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database