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Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Intermountain West and East Coast

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Intermountain West and East Coast states. Flooding, gusty winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, record warmth will spread northward across the Mississippi Valley the next few days. Looking for snow, the first winter storm of the season is underway across the northern Rockies. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Washington Manassas Airport (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Light Rain Fog/Mist

62°F

17°C

Humidity 96%
Wind Speed N 10 mph
Barometer 30.07 in (1018.6 mb)
Dewpoint 61°F (16°C)
Visibility 2.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 10:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Nokesville VA

  • Today

    Today: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 71. East wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 71 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 61. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely, mainly before 7am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light northwest wind.

    Low: 54 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 82.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.

    Low: 58 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 70.

    High: 70 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 71. East wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 61. Light and variable wind becoming northwest around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Showers likely, mainly before 7am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light northwest wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Thursday
Partly sunny, with a high near 70.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Nokesville VA
 38.7°N 77.57°W (Elev. 249 ft)
Last Update:
10:53 am EDT Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
11am EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 17, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation