National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Winter Returns Across the Northern Tier; Record Warmth for the Southwest

A large high pressure system will usher in cold air for this first day of March across the northern Plains, Great Lakes, Northeast and mid-Atlantic. Some wintry precipitation may evolve across the mid-Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic through Monday. Meanwhile, record warmth will spread across the Southwest, southern Plains through early this week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Manassas, Manassas Regional Airport/Harry P. Davis Field (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Partly Cloudy

31°F

-1°C

Humidity 56%
Wind Speed NE 8 mph
Barometer 30.54 in (1035.1 mb)
Dewpoint 17°F (-8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill24°F (-4°C)
Last update 2 Mar 5:56 am EST
Extended Forecast for

Nokesville VA

Winter Weather Advisory March 2, 10:00pm until March 3, 10:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Winter Weather Advisory

  • Today

    Today: Snow likely before 3pm, then snow likely, possibly mixed with rain. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    High: 37 °F

    Chance Snow
    then
    Rain/Snow
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 3am, then rain, possibly mixed with snow and freezing rain. Patchy fog between 10pm and midnight. Low around 30. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    Low: 30 °F

    Chance Wintry
    Mix and
    Patchy Fog
    then Wintry
    Mix

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Rain or freezing rain likely, becoming all rain after 7am. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.

    High: 48 °F

    Rain/Freezing
    Rain Likely
    then Rain
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Rain likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 45 °F

    Rain Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 66 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of rain, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 50 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75.

    High: 75 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of rain before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance Rain

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of rain after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 77 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    Rain

Detailed Forecast

Today
Snow likely before 3pm, then snow likely, possibly mixed with rain. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Tonight
Rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 3am, then rain, possibly mixed with snow and freezing rain. Patchy fog between 10pm and midnight. Low around 30. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tuesday
Rain or freezing rain likely, becoming all rain after 7am. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no ice accumulation expected.
Tuesday Night
Rain likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of rain, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75.
Thursday Night
A chance of rain before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of rain after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Saturday
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Nokesville VA
 38.7°N 77.57°W (Elev. 249 ft)
Last Update:
4:14 am EST Mar 2, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6am EST Mar 2, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 8, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation