Heavy Snow and Disruptive Ice in the Upper Midwest; Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains

A late season winter storm will produce a combination of heavy snow and disruptive ice starting this evening in the Northern Plains and moving into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes by tonight continuing through Thursday. Severe thunderstorms will likely produce severe wind gusts, large hail, a few tornadoes, and heavy rainfall across the southern and central Plains today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Manassas, Manassas Regional Airport/Harry P. Davis Field (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Fair

84°F

29°C

Humidity 44%
Wind Speed SW 8 mph
Barometer 30.08 in (1019.0 mb)
Dewpoint 60°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index84°F (29°C)
Last update 1 Apr 12:56 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Nokesville VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind around 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 86 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 3am.  Patchy fog after 1am. Low around 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Patchy fog before 11am.  Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 78 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 83 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.

    Low: 63 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers, mainly after 8am.  High near 73. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 3am. Patchy fog after 1am. Low around 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
Showers, mainly after 8am. High near 73. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
Showers, mainly before 8pm. Low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 61.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 37.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Nokesville VA
 38.7°N 77.57°W (Elev. 249 ft)
10:53 am EDT Apr 1, 2026
1pm EDT Apr 1, 2026-6pm EDT Apr 7, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database