National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Tropical Storm in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce considerable, potentially life-threatening, flooding across the lower Mississippi River Valley and central Great Lakes region through tonight. Tropical Storm Arthur will move northeastward along the Texas coast today and then move inland over southwestern Louisiana by tonight. An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected across portions of Illinois and Indiana. Read More >

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Partly Cloudy

85°F

29°C

Humidity 38%
Wind Speed SW 6 mph
Barometer 29.74 in
Dewpoint 57°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index84°F (29°C)
Last update 17 Jun 5:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NNW Sperryville VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 65. Light southwest wind increasing to 6 to 11 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 65 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 89 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Becoming
    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. West wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 81.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Increasing clouds, with a low around 65. Light southwest wind increasing to 6 to 11 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Juneteenth
Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. West wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 81.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NNW Sperryville VA
 38.7°N 78.29°W (Elev. 1302 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 pm EDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
5pm EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 24, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation