Severe Thunderstorms, Heavy Rainfall and Dangerous Heat

Severe thunderstorms are expected today and Friday from the upper Midwest, central Great Lakes into the Ohio and mid-Mississippi Valley's. In addition, heavy rainfall threat increases on Friday across the Ohio Valley. Meanwhile, early summer-like heat wave across portions of southern Texas with new daily records are forecast today and through the weekend; The heat spreads across the Gulf States. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Partly Cloudy

78°F

26°C

Humidity 59%
Wind Speed S 5 mph
Barometer 29.81 in
Dewpoint 63°F (17°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index80°F (27°C)
Last update 15 May 5:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Warrenton VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers between 2am and 5am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Patchy fog before 1am, then patchy fog after 3am.  Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 64. Light south wind.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Friday

    Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then a slight chance of showers between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 88 °F

    Scattered
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light southwest wind.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers before 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 86 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind around 6 mph.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.

    Low: 51 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers between 2am and 5am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Patchy fog before 1am, then patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 64. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then a slight chance of showers between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind around 6 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 76.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Warrenton VA
 38.72°N 77.8°W (Elev. 600 ft)
5:15 pm EDT May 15, 2025
6pm EDT May 15, 2025-6pm EDT May 22, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database