National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Critical Fire Weather Wednesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the northern High Plains Wednesday afternoon and evening. Severe wind gusts are the primary hazard. Gusty winds and low relative humidity will contribute to critical fire weather conditions across parts of the northern Great Plains and Great Basin Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Manassas, Manassas Regional Airport/Harry P. Davis Field (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Fair

55°F

13°C

Humidity 64%
Wind Speed S 8 mph
Barometer 30.06 in (1018.4 mb)
Dewpoint 43°F (6°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill53°F (12°C)
Last update 13 May 1:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Nokesville VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. South wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 75 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a chance of showers between midnight and 1am. Low around 49. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    High: 66 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 74.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.

    Low: 52 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.

    High: 87 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Mostly clear, with a low around 53. South wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a chance of showers between midnight and 1am. Low around 49. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 74.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 93.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Nokesville VA
 38.72°N 77.57°W (Elev. 246 ft)
Last Update:
10:53 pm EDT May 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
2am EDT May 13, 2026-6pm EDT May 19, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation