National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fog/Mist

62°F

17°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed NE 7 mph
Barometer 29.81 in
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 5.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 7:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Warrenton VA

Flood Watch October 11, 10:11pm until October 12, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 10:11pm until October 12, 02:00am

    NOW until 2:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 73. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Light northwest wind.

    Low: 54 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 78 °F

    Becoming
    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 82.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 69 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then showers likely. Patchy fog before 11pm, then patchy fog after midnight. Low around 60. North wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Partly sunny, with a high near 73. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Light northwest wind.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 78. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 54.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Warrenton VA
 38.72°N 77.8°W (Elev. 600 ft)
Last Update:
7:53 pm EDT Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
10pm EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation