National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat Continues; Severe Thunderstorms into Upper Midwest; Strong Bering Sea Storm

Wildfires and poor air quality continue for the Pacific Northwest, Rockies and extended into the Plains. Severe thunderstorms possible for the northern Plains and upper Midwest on Monday along a frontal boundary. Another boundary will focus showers and thunderstorms for the eastern seaboard with localized heavy rainfall possible. For Alaska, a strong Bering Sea storm will bring winds and rainfall. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Thunderstorm in Vicinity

75°F

24°C

Humidity 92%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.78 in
Dewpoint 73°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 2 Aug 11:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SE Orlean VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 85 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 84 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 86 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 88 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SE Orlean VA
 38.71°N 77.91°W (Elev. 400 ft)
Last Update:
10:53 pm EDT Aug 2, 2026
Forecast Valid:
11pm EDT Aug 2, 2026-6pm EDT Aug 9, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation