Severe Thunderstorms in the Central U.S.; Heavy to Excessive Rainfall in the Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians

Severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes are expected through Tuesday across parts of the central Plains and lower to mid Missouri Valley. Heavy to excessive rainfall could produce flooding across portions of the Ohio Valley into the Central Appalachians through Tuesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Fog/Mist

68°F

20°C

Humidity 95%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.02 in
Dewpoint 66°F (19°C)
Visibility 1.75 mi
Last update 17 Jun 3:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SE Orlean VA

Flood Watch June 17, 11:00am until June 17, 10:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers.  Patchy fog.  Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of rain and thunderstorms before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  Patchy fog before 9am.  Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Light southwest wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Clear

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 92 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 88.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.

    Low: 65 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
A chance of rain and thunderstorms before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Juneteenth
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 88.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 91.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 96.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Monday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 98.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SE Orlean VA
 38.71°N 77.91°W (Elev. 400 ft)
1:29 am EDT Jun 17, 2025
4am EDT Jun 17, 2025-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database