Severe Thunderstorms and Critical Fire Weather Wednesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the northern High Plains Wednesday afternoon and evening. Severe wind gusts are the primary hazard. Gusty winds and low relative humidity will contribute to critical fire weather conditions across parts of the northern Great Plains and Great Basin Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Fair

62°F

17°C

Humidity 46%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 30.10 in
Dewpoint 41°F (5°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 May 10:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles WSW Orlean VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. South wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    Low: 52 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 73. South wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and midnight.  Mostly cloudy, then gradual clearing toward daybreak, with a low around 47. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Northwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 63 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 73.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.

    Low: 52 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. South wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 73. South wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, then gradual clearing toward daybreak, with a low around 47. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Northwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 73.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles WSW Orlean VA
 38.72°N 78.03°W (Elev. 591 ft)
7:53 pm EDT May 12, 2026
10pm EDT May 12, 2026-6pm EDT May 19, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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