Severe Thunderstorms Likely in the Central U.S.; Flooding Possible for portions of Oklahoma/Texas/Arkansas and the Marianas.

Severe thunderstorms are likely from the southern Plains to the Midwest through Friday. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible. An Enhanced (level 3 of 5) risk is in effect. Flash flooding is possible across portions of Oklahoma, Texas, and Arkansas on Friday. A Slight (level 2 of 4) risk is in effect. Flooding rain may impact Guam and the Marianas through next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

53°F

12°C

Humidity 91%
Wind Speed N 3 mph
Barometer 30.11 in
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 5 Mar 7:15 pm EST
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NNW Warrenton VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then scattered showers between 2am and 3am.  Patchy fog before midnight, then patchy fog after 1am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Light east wind.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 48 °F

    Scattered
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Friday

    Friday: Scattered showers after 3pm.  Patchy fog before noon.  Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 63. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 63 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then
    Scattered
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Isolated showers before 1am.  Patchy fog before 10pm, then patchy fog after midnight.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 45 °F

    Isolated
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers after 1pm.  Patchy fog before 10am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Light southeast wind becoming south 8 to 13 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 74 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, mainly after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 70 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.

    Low: 49 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then scattered showers between 2am and 3am. Patchy fog before midnight, then patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday
Scattered showers after 3pm. Patchy fog before noon. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 63. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Isolated showers before 1am. Patchy fog before 10pm, then patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Light southeast wind becoming south 8 to 13 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Tuesday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NNW Warrenton VA
 38.75°N 77.82°W (Elev. 696 ft)
6:53 pm EST Mar 5, 2026
7pm EST Mar 5, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 12, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database