National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Snow and Disruptive Ice in the Upper Midwest; Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains

A late season winter storm will produce a combination of heavy snow and disruptive ice starting this evening in the Northern Plains and moving into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes by tonight continuing through Thursday. Severe thunderstorms will likely produce severe wind gusts, large hail, a few tornadoes, and heavy rainfall across the southern and central Plains today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Mostly Cloudy

86°F

30°C

Humidity 31%
Wind Speed SW 8 mph
Barometer 30.02 in
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index84°F (29°C)
Last update 1 Apr 4:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Orlean VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 85 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then isolated showers. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Isolated
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 80 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. East wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers, mainly after 8am. High near 72. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 72 °F

    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then isolated showers. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. East wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
Showers, mainly after 8am. High near 72. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 62.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 55.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Orlean VA
 38.76°N 77.96°W (Elev. 627 ft)
Last Update:
2:24 pm EDT Apr 1, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4pm EDT Apr 1, 2026-6pm EDT Apr 8, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation