National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Moisture Brings Heavy Rain to Southwest; Strong Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture surging into the Southwest U.S. will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding the next several days. A strong coastal low will develop late Friday and is expected to bring flooding, high surf, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain to much of the U.S. East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

47°F

8°C

Humidity 64%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.42 in
Dewpoint 36°F (2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 9 Oct 7:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles N Warrenton VA

Frost Advisory October 10, 02:00am until October 10, 09:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Frost Advisory

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph.

    Low: 37 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Areas of frost between 7am and 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 66. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.

    High: 66 °F

    Areas Frost
    then Mostly
    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Light southeast wind.

    Low: 48 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. East wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 67 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 57. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers. High near 62. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 62 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 63 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Friday
Areas of frost between 7am and 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 66. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Light southeast wind.
Saturday
A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. East wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 57. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday
Showers. High near 62. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 65.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles N Warrenton VA
 38.77°N 77.79°W (Elev. 499 ft)
Last Update:
7:29 pm EDT Oct 9, 2025
Forecast Valid:
7pm EDT Oct 9, 2025-6pm EDT Oct 16, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation