National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Critical Fire Weather Wednesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the northern High Plains Wednesday afternoon and evening. Severe wind gusts are the primary hazard. Gusty winds and low relative humidity will contribute to critical fire weather conditions across parts of the northern Great Plains and Great Basin Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Fair

57°F

14°C

Humidity 55%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 30.02 in
Dewpoint 41°F (5°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 13 May 7:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Orlean VA

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 75. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 75 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 2am. Low around 47. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 64 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.

    Low: 50 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.

    Low: 59 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.

    High: 91 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 75. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 2am. Low around 47. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 66.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 94.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Orlean VA
 38.76°N 77.96°W (Elev. 627 ft)
Last Update:
4:53 am EDT May 13, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7am EDT May 13, 2026-6pm EDT May 19, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation