Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Manassas, Manassas Regional Airport/Harry P. Davis Field (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

A Few Clouds

67°F

19°C

Humidity 73%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 29.81 in (1009.9 mb)
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 11:56 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSE Gainesville VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A slight chance of showers before 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light south wind.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Light southwest wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 66 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Cloudy through mid morning, then becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 94. West wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 94 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 67 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

    High: 84 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A slight chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Light southwest wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Cloudy through mid morning, then becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 94. West wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSE Gainesville VA
 38.77°N 77.59°W (Elev. 299 ft)
10:53 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
12am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database