Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain Across the Central US; Wintry Mix in the Northern Plains and Northeast

Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding are possible across the central U.S. through Saturday. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible. There is an increased threat for wildfire development in the southern to central High Plains. A wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain are forecast across portions of the northern Plains and central New England into early Friday morning. Read More >

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

53°F

12°C

Humidity 89%
Wind Speed N 3 mph
Barometer 30.12 in
Dewpoint 50°F (10°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 5 Mar 8:55 pm EST
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SSW Broad Run VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then isolated showers between 1am and 3am.  Patchy fog after 1am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Scattered
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Friday

    Friday: Scattered showers, mainly after 4pm.  Patchy fog before noon.  Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 62. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 62 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then
    Scattered
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Isolated showers.  Patchy fog before 10pm, then patchy fog after 11pm.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 45 °F

    Isolated
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers before 7am, then a chance of showers after 1pm.  Patchy fog before 10am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Light southeast wind becoming south 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 74 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, mainly after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 69 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.

    Low: 49 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

    High: 72 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then isolated showers between 1am and 3am. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Scattered showers, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before noon. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 62. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Isolated showers. Patchy fog before 10pm, then patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers before 7am, then a chance of showers after 1pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Light southeast wind becoming south 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Tuesday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SSW Broad Run VA
 38.78°N 77.76°W (Elev. 787 ft)
7:57 pm EST Mar 5, 2026
9pm EST Mar 5, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 12, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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