National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather and Heavy Rainfall in the Midwest and Desert Southwest; Mid-Summer Heat Continues

Severe thunderstorm and heavy rainfall are possible in the Midwest into the Central Appalachians and the Desert Southwest early this week. Storms are also expected in parts of the northern Plains today. Fire weather and air quality concerns will persist across portions of the West. Mid-summer heat will continue across much of the CONUS this week, especially in the the south-central High Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Washington Manassas Airport (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Fair with Haze

84°F

29°C

Humidity 67%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.07 in (1018.6 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 4.00 mi
Heat Index90°F (32°C)
Last update 10 Aug 9:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Bull Run VA

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 4pm and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 93 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 90 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers before 8am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Northwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 89 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 91 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 4pm and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers before 8am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Northwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Bull Run VA
 38.78°N 77.53°W (Elev. 299 ft)
Last Update:
8:33 am EDT Aug 10, 2026
Forecast Valid:
10am EDT Aug 10, 2026-6pm EDT Aug 16, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation