Tracking a Winter Storm; Unusual Early-Season Heat Wave in the Southwest

A major winter storm will organize across the Northern Plains today and then rapidly strengthen as it moves into the Great Lakes on Sunday. Heavy snow and blowing snow are likely to persist over the Great Lakes into Monday night. Dry and gusty winds will produce a critical fire risk across the central/southern Plains. An early heatwave will begin to intensify over the western U.S. into next week. Read More >

Current conditions at

Warrenton-Fauquier Airport (KHWY)

Lat: 38.59°NLon: 77.72°WElev: 302ft.

Fair

32°F

0°C

Humidity 74%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.32 in
Dewpoint 25°F (-4°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Mar 2:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SSW Rectortown VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Calm wind.

    Low: 37 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light southeast wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    High: 59 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers, mainly before 3am.  Low around 51. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Some of the storms could be severe.  High near 70. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 70 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Rain showers likely, mixing with snow after 11pm, then gradually ending. Some thunder is also possible.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 27 °F

    Rain/Snow
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 38.

    High: 38 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 21.

    Low: 21 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 41.

    High: 41 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27.

    Low: 27 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Calm wind.
Sunday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light southeast wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Sunday Night
Showers, mainly before 3am. Low around 51. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Monday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Some of the storms could be severe. High near 70. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Rain showers likely, mixing with snow after 11pm, then gradually ending. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 38.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 21.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 41.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Thursday
Partly sunny, with a high near 54.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Friday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SSW Rectortown VA
 38.8°N 77.9°W (Elev. 571 ft)
1:53 am EDT Mar 15, 2026
2am EDT Mar 15, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 21, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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