Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Washington/Dulles International Airport, DC (KIAD)

Lat: 38.93°NLon: 77.45°WElev: 312ft.

Mostly Cloudy

70°F

21°C

Humidity 64%
Wind Speed SE 7 mph
Barometer 29.80 in (1008.9 mb)
Dewpoint 57°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 10:52 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Fairfax VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers after midnight.  Partly cloudy early, then becoming cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind 3 to 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph.

    High: 87 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 68. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 68 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 93 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 62.

    Low: 62 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A slight chance of showers after midnight. Partly cloudy early, then becoming cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
Increasing clouds, with a low around 68. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 83.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 62.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Fairfax VA
 38.85°N 77.32°W (Elev. 413 ft)
10:53 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
11pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database