National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms Likely in the Central U.S.; Flooding Possible for portions of Oklahoma/Texas/Arkansas and the Marianas.

Severe thunderstorms are likely from the southern Plains to the Midwest through Friday. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible. An Enhanced (level 3 of 5) risk is in effect. Flash flooding is possible across portions of Oklahoma, Texas, and Arkansas on Friday. A Slight (level 2 of 4) risk is in effect. Flooding rain may impact Guam and the Marianas through next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Manassas, Manassas Regional Airport/Harry P. Davis Field (KHEF)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.52°WElev: 194ft.

Fair

57°F

14°C

Humidity 81%
Wind Speed NE 5 mph
Barometer 30.11 in (1020.2 mb)
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility 9.00 mi
Last update 5 Mar 6:56 pm EST
Extended Forecast for

The Plains VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then scattered showers between 1am and 3am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Friday

    Friday: Scattered showers, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before noon. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 61 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then
    Scattered
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Isolated showers. Patchy fog before 10pm, then patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 45 °F

    Isolated
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers before 7am, then a chance of showers after 1pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Light southeast wind becoming south 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 74 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 69 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.

    Low: 48 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

    Low: 53 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then scattered showers between 1am and 3am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Scattered showers, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before noon. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
Isolated showers. Patchy fog before 10pm, then patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers before 7am, then a chance of showers after 1pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Light southeast wind becoming south 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Tuesday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
The Plains VA
 38.85°N 77.78°W (Elev. 600 ft)
Last Update:
6:53 pm EST Mar 5, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7pm EST Mar 5, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 12, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

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High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation