Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Intermountain West and East Coast

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Intermountain West and East Coast states. Flooding, gusty winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, record warmth will spread northward across the Mississippi Valley the next few days. Looking for snow, the first winter storm of the season is underway across the northern Rockies. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Fort Belvoir (KDAA)

Lat: 38.72°NLon: 77.18°WElev: 69ft.

Light Rain Fog/Mist

66°F

19°C

Humidity 93%
Wind Speed N 3 mph
Barometer 29.94 in (1014.1 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 5.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 12:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Merrifield VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 68. East wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 68 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 3am.  Low around 61. East wind 5 to 8 mph becoming northwest after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers, mainly before 7am.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 72. North wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 72 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers after 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers before 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 69 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 68. East wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 3am. Low around 61. East wind 5 to 8 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers, mainly before 7am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 72. North wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 83.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Breezy.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Merrifield VA
 38.86°N 77.23°W (Elev. 348 ft)
12:11 pm EDT Oct 11, 2026
1pm EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database