Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain from the Plains to the Mid-Atlantic; Ongoing Heat in the South

Severe thunderstorms and showers pose a risk for excessive rain, localized flash flooding, strong gusts and/or large hail across portions of the northern and central Plains, the Lower Missouri to Lower Ohio Valleys, and across the Mid-Atlantic this afternoon and evening. Extreme heat is ongoing over the Desert Southwest and the Southeast U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Overcast

77°F

25°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed E 3 mph
Barometer 29.86 in
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 9 Jul 5:15 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Toms Brook VA

Flood Watch until July 9, 11:00pm
Severe T-storm Watch until July 9, 10:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Severe T-storm Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch until July 9, 11:00pm
    Severe T-storm Watch until July 9, 10:00pm

    NOW: Multiple hazards in effect

    Click HERE for Details

  • This Afternoon

    High: 80 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Some of the storms could be severe.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 65 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    then Partly
    Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 87 °F

    Scattered
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm, then isolated showers after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 66 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Isolated
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am.  High near 82. Light northwest wind.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 82 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am.  Low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 81.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could be severe. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 80. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 87. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm, then isolated showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday
Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 82. Light northwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
Partly sunny, with a high near 81.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 87.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 92.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 67.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms Brook VA
 38.94°N 78.45°W (Elev. 794 ft)
4:53 pm EDT Jul 9, 2026
5pm EDT Jul 9, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 16, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database