National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes; Winter Weather in the Northern Tier

A slow moving front extending from the Great Lakes region into the Plains will bring snow, wintry mix, and ice accumulation north of the front from the Upper Midwest into New England, and severe weather and heavy rain south of the front. Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging gusts, severe hail, and heavy rain are expected across parts of the Great Lakes/Midwest through tonight. Read More >

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Fair

60°F

16°C

Humidity 70%
Wind Speed S 5 mph
Barometer 30.12 in
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 31 Mar 7:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Toms Brook VA

  • Today

    Today: Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Isolated
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind around 7 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 79 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 83 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Showers likely after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms Brook VA
 38.94°N 78.45°W (Elev. 794 ft)
Last Update:
7:53 am EDT Mar 31, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8am EDT Mar 31, 2026-6pm EDT Apr 6, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation