Severe Thunderstorms in the Central U.S.; Record Temperatures Likely for Eastern U.S.

Several rounds of severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are forecast from the southern Plains to the Midwest through Friday. Large hail, damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes are possible. A significant warm-up is expected for much of the Eastern U.S. into next week. Several daily record temperature records are likely to be broken. Fire weather concerns will return to the central/southern High Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Overcast

49°F

9°C

Humidity 99%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.16 in
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 7.00 mi
Last update 5 Mar 10:35 am EST
Extended Forecast for

Toms Brook VA

  • Today

    Today: Scattered showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then
    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then isolated showers between 11pm and 2am.  Patchy fog before 11pm, then patchy fog after midnight.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Friday

    Friday: Scattered showers after 1pm.  Patchy fog before 9am.  Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 69 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then
    Scattered
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 51 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 78 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers after 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 71 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Low: 47 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Scattered showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then isolated showers between 11pm and 2am. Patchy fog before 11pm, then patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Scattered showers after 1pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Tuesday
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms Brook VA
 38.94°N 78.45°W (Elev. 794 ft)
9:54 am EST Mar 5, 2026
10am EST Mar 5, 2026-6pm EDT Mar 11, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database