National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy to Excessive Rainfall for the Southwest U.S.; Watching for Possible East Coast Storm

Thunderstorms and a chance for some isolated flash flooding will continue today in the Southwest U.S. before an influx of tropical moisture from Priscilla brings widespread heavy rainfall and a flash flooding threat late this week into this weekend. A coastal storm may develop off the southeast U.S. coast Friday night and drift north just off the Mid-Atlantic coast through the weekend. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Partly Cloudy

69°F

21°C

Humidity 49%
Wind Speed NW 8 mph
Barometer 30.14 in
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 8 Oct 2:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Toms Brook VA

Freeze Watch October 10, 02:00am until October 10, 09:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Freeze Watch

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Clear, with a low around 40. North wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 40 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.

    High: 63 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Widespread frost, mainly after 5am. Otherwise, clear, with a low around 32. Light northeast wind.

    Low: 32 °F

    Clear then
    Frost

  • Friday

    Friday: Widespread frost, mainly before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 65 °F

    Frost then
    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Calm wind.

    Low: 41 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 67.

    High: 67 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 63 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 47 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Clear, with a low around 40. North wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Thursday Night
Widespread frost, mainly after 5am. Otherwise, clear, with a low around 32. Light northeast wind.
Friday
Widespread frost, mainly before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Calm wind.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 67.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms Brook VA
 38.94°N 78.45°W (Elev. 794 ft)
Last Update:
1:29 pm EDT Oct 8, 2025
Forecast Valid:
3pm EDT Oct 8, 2025-6pm EDT Oct 15, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation