Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic; Fire Weather Concerns in the West

Thunderstorms are expected to bring heavy rain and potential significant flash and urban flooding to the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday, especially along the I-95 urban corridor. Dry conditions, gusty winds, and isolated dry thunderstorms will continue to bring a critical fire weather threat to the northwestern Great Basin into the interior Northwest through Thursday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Fair

72°F

22°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed S 3 mph
Barometer 30.00 in
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 31 Jul 12:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Toms Brook VA

Flood Watch July 31, 02:00pm until August 1, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  • Overnight

    Overnight: Patchy fog after 4am.  Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 71. Calm wind.

    Low: 71 °F

    Patchy Fog

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm.  Patchy fog before 8am. High near 92. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 92 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog
    then T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely.  Low around 66. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 66 °F

    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. North wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 76 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. North wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.

    High: 80 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

    Low: 57 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 71. Calm wind.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Patchy fog before 8am. High near 92. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely. Low around 66. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. North wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. North wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Tuesday
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms Brook VA
 38.94°N 78.45°W (Elev. 794 ft)
10:29 pm EDT Jul 30, 2025
1am EDT Jul 31, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 6, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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