Showers and Thunderstorms from the Southern Plains into the Mid-Mississippi Valley; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Heavy rain and widely scattered severe storms capable of large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a tornado are expected over portions of the central and southern Plains into the Lower Missouri Valley. Unseasonable warmth will continue for a few more days across the Midwest and Southeast where several daily record highs could fall. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Fair

68°F

20°C

Humidity 75%
Wind Speed S 7 mph
Barometer 29.96 in
Dewpoint 60°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 14 Oct 5:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Toms Brook VA

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind around 6 mph.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Increasing clouds, with a low around 57. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers, mainly before 4pm.  High near 65. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    High: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.

    Low: 41 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 55.

    High: 55 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 33.

    Low: 33 °F

    Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 62.

    High: 62 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Increasing clouds, with a low around 57. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
Showers, mainly before 4pm. High near 65. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Southwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 55.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 33.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 62.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 66.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms Brook VA
 38.94°N 78.42°W (Elev. 689 ft)
4:53 am EDT Oct 14, 2026
5am EDT Oct 14, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 20, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database