National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Critical Fire Weather for a Large Part of the Central U.S.; Areas of Severe Thunderstorms

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring elevated to critical fire weather across large parts of the Great Plains and more localized parts of the Great Basin and central Rockies Thursday into Friday. Severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging wind gusts are possible over the central Plains Thursday into this weekend. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Front Royal-warren County Airport (KFRR)

Lat: 38.92°NLon: 78.25°WElev: 709ft.

Overcast

55°F

13°C

Humidity 90%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.82 in
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 14 May 1:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Toms Brook VA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Calm wind.

    Low: 45 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Northwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 45 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Calm wind.

    Low: 50 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 86 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Calm wind.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Northwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Calm wind.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 92.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms Brook VA
 38.94°N 78.45°W (Elev. 794 ft)
Last Update:
10:54 pm EDT May 13, 2026
Forecast Valid:
2am EDT May 14, 2026-6pm EDT May 20, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation