National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes; Record Heat in the East

Widely scattered severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains due to gusty winds and dry conditions. An early-season heatwave will challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Winchester Regional (KOKV)

Lat: 39.15°NLon: 78.15°WElev: 728ft.

Fair

75°F

24°C

Humidity 65%
Wind Speed SE 3 mph
Barometer 30.07 in
Dewpoint 63°F (17°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 19 May 8:15 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Stephens City VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Isolated showers before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Isolated
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 91. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 91 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers after 11pm. Low around 55. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 64. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 64 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 50. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 61. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 61 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers. Low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 67 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Isolated showers before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 91. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers after 11pm. Low around 55. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 64. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 50. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 61. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Friday Night
Showers. Low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Memorial Day
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Stephens City VA
 39.08°N 78.23°W (Elev. 751 ft)
Last Update:
7:55 pm EDT May 19, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8pm EDT May 19, 2026-6pm EDT May 26, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation