Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain Across the Central US and Central Appalachians

Severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds, hail and possibly a few tornadoes are expected across parts of the central Plains and the Missouri Valley. Heavy rainfall and flash flooding is also expected in the area. Thunderstorms and heavy rain may also bring additional flooding impacts to the central Appalachians. High temperatures and critical fire weather conditions expected in the Southwest. Read More >

Current conditions at

Winchester Regional (KOKV)

Lat: 39.15°NLon: 78.15°WElev: 728ft.

Partly Cloudy

79°F

26°C

Humidity 74%
Wind Speed S 9 mph
Barometer 29.92 in
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index82°F (28°C)
Last update 17 Jun 4:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles W Stephens City VA

Flood Watch until June 17, 10:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch until June 17, 10:00pm

    NOW until 10:00pm Tue

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 84 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Heavy Rain

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 7pm and 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 90 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 7pm and 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 70. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Juneteenth
A slight chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 69.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 95.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 71.
Monday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 97.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Tuesday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 98.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles W Stephens City VA
 39.08°N 78.28°W (Elev. 781 ft)
4:29 pm EDT Jun 17, 2025
5pm EDT Jun 17, 2025-6pm EDT Jun 24, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database