National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Critical Fire Weather Wednesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the northern High Plains Wednesday afternoon and evening. Severe wind gusts are the primary hazard. Gusty winds and low relative humidity will contribute to critical fire weather conditions across parts of the northern Great Plains and Great Basin Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Winchester Regional (KOKV)

Lat: 39.15°NLon: 78.15°WElev: 728ft.

Fair

61°F

16°C

Humidity 48%
Wind Speed SW 8 mph
Barometer 29.94 in
Dewpoint 41°F (5°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 13 May 8:35 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Stephens City VA

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 47. West wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Northwest wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 72 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.

    Low: 51 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.

    High: 91 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 47. West wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Northwest wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Stephens City VA
 39.12°N 78.22°W (Elev. 784 ft)
Last Update:
7:53 am EDT May 13, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8am EDT May 13, 2026-6pm EDT May 19, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation